East & Partners

The dominance of the mortgage consumer in Australian bank lending

(4 April 2012 – Australia) The majority of bank lending is heavily weighted toward the retail mortgage borrower and not the productive part of the economy, despite a near even split in deposit taking between these two segments East & Partners’ latest Deposit Funding & Debt Index shows.Easts’ latest report shows that 27.7 percent of current lending balances on
banks’ lending books is committed to business borrowers, despite the business
markets representing upwards of 42 percent in total deposits. The biggest
imbalance in lending between the two sides of the bank is visible in the
Commonwealth Bank of Australia which has 17.41 percent of its total lending book
currently committed to business borrowers (32.15 percent of CBA’s deposits come
from businesses), closely followed by Westpac with 19.33 percent lent to the
business segment (40.17 percent of Westpac’s deposits come from businesses).

This imbalance of lending is market-wide including the regionals such as Bank of
Queensland (BOQ) and BankWest with BOQ the most skewed of the Australian
regional banks with just under 80 percent of their total lending going to
consumers. National Australia Bank (NAB) is the most balanced out of the major
banks with a split of 34.91 percent and 65.09 percent of their total lending
going to business and retail customers respectively, reinforcing its positioning
as Australia’s “business bank”

Exhibit 1
Deposit Balances / Lending Balances: February 2012

Business Retail

Bank

2010 2012 2010 2012

ANZ

1.13 0.73 0.39 0.42

CBA

1.26 1.13 0.50 0.50

NAB

1.31 0.89 0.37 0.38

WBC

1.56 1.11 0.38 0.40

BOQ

0.88 0.97 0.83 0.75

SUN

0.58 0.58 0.54 0.50

TOTAL

1.15 0.87 0.44 0.45

Sources: APRA & East & Partners DFDI Segmentations

East & Partners’ Principal Analyst Paul Dowling commented, “The two acknowledged
“retail banks” in Australia lend less than one fifth of their total balance
sheet to the productive economy. As demand for credit flatlines in both the
mortgage and business markets, this isn’t going to change anytime soon”

“As growth outside the Resources sector remains subdued, both demand for and
access to commercial secured lending appear to have gone into hibernation,” Mr
Dowling added.

About East & Partners’ Deposit Funding & Debt Index

A monthly analysis across Australia’s total business and consumer deposit and
lending markets, based on data sourced from APRA. The ADI data is overlayed with
a set of demand-side analyses based on East & Partners’ continuous
whole-of-market customer research programs to produce the Index’s set of ratio
indicators. The Index focuses on critical market measures including business
versus retail deposit volume ratios, the ratio of deposit versus lending by bank
by market segment, deposit market share and the total market deposit funding
index.

Also reported each month are unique segmentations based on depositor size and,
importantly given BASEL III’s impact, the Index also splits On Call and HYOD
deposit volumes by segment from Term Deposits across 3, 6 and 12 month tenures –
hot and sticky deposit business flows, tied versus free deposit balances,
deposit churn forecasts and rate triggers for depositor switching.

Note: Business Depositor Segments:
› Institutional – A$530 million plus
› Corporate – A$20-530 million
› SME – A$5-20 million
› Micro – A$1-5 million

For more information or for further interview based insights from East &
Partners on this DFDI Index, please contact:

Sian Dowling
Marcomms & Client Services
East & Partners
t: 02 9004 7848
m: 0420 583 553
e: sian.d@eastandpartners.com

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