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Business lending growth outlook to 2009 revised

Business lending growth outlook to 2009 revised

(3 August 2006 – Australia) East & Partners has revised its three year average growth outlook for business credit by 2.3 percent following yesterday’s Reserve Bank of Australia upward interest rate movement. The SME and Micro Business banking markets will be most impacted as two thirds of current lending remains secured against the "family home". Continued pressure from input costs, in particular the high price of fuel, on enterprise growth plans and a tightening labour market causing increasing professional labour costs will further constrain the growth ambitions of small businesses.

Supporting the continued double digit growth in business lending, however, is strong capital expenditure by middle market and SME businesses catching up on historically depressed spending, strong cash flow outlooks and generally solid balance sheet gearing.

Business System Growth Outlook
 
  % Forecast Change
(Average P.A.)
 
  Assets
 
Liabilities
 
Total System
 
New South Wales 9.7 10.5 10.1
Victoria 11.1 12.1 11.6
Queensland 18.8 14.3 16.9
Western Australia 19.4 15.6 17.6
South Australia 10.4 11.0 10.6
Other 11.3 11.6 11.4
TOTAL 13.6 12.5 13.2

For more information please contact:

Paul Bartholomew
Senior Consultant
East & Partners
Tel: +61-2-9004 7848
Mob: +61-410 400 156
paul.b@eastandpartners.com

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